FORECASTER: Juris Almonte SYNOPTIC OVERVIEW: Low pressure system over Washington state bringing and a low pressure over the northern border of AB and SK. The cold front is moving southwest over AB and SK, but will transition to more of a southerly direction as the low pressure moves SE towards Minnesota state tomorrow morning.
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FORECASTERS: Charlie Hébert-Pinard, Hilary Smith & Selina Mitchell SYNOPTIC OVERVIEW: The stationary front in the north of Alberta is now a cold front moving to the south east. It is going to bring some precipitation and maybe even some thunderstorms on is way, but these might not occur until it is south of the study region. It will at least bring convection to our area with a small probability of thunderstorms, but since the air is pretty dry and smoke advisory is still in effect, the energy available for this is limited. However, convection in our area could also come from a small low pressure coming from the South.
FORECASTERS: Charlie Hebert-Pinard and Selina Mitchell SYNOPTIC OVERVIEW: Currently the atmosphere is fairly stable and there is little moisture in the air. There is a gentle upper ridge spanning the province of British Columbia that will divert major systems from the province. However, there are subtle systems embedded in this ridge and they will give rise to convective precipitation including in areas around the Elk Valley. There is a stationary front just slightly to the north of our study area that will give rise to precipitation, but it is unlikely to affect us. There is currently a lot of smoke in the region.
FORECASTER: Juris Almonte SYNOPTIC OVERVIEW: Conditions remain the same, with a strengthening upper ridge over Northern BC and AB and extending into the YK and NWT. Again, this will cause stability in the atmosphere. A weak trough will make its way onshore by Wednesday.
FORECASTER: Charlie Hébert-Pinard, Selina Mitchell & Juris Almonte SYNOPTIC OVERVIEW: Similar to yesterday's forecast, a high pressure system is encompassing most of the prairies and to the Great Lakes. The upper level ridge has moved onshore with the crest over Northern BC, bringing mainly fair weather for most of the province. The weak is forecasted to weaken by Wednesday, which will bring some spotty convection over SPADE region.
Forecaster : Cécile Carton SYNOPTIC OVERVIEW Our area remains clear, we should observe stable conditions over the following days.
FORECASTERS: Juris Almonte & Cécile Carton SYNOPTIC OVERVIEW: Surface high pressure system over the Pacific off the coast of BC and northwestern US. There is an upper low located over northern California, which is causing some of the lingering instability over southern BC, which is still observed over the radar this morning. Though nothing is shown over our area.
FORECASTER: Juris Almonte SYNOPTIC OVERVIEW: An upper trough digging into BC and AB has caused some unsettled weather over the SPADE region.
FORECASTER: Juris Almonte SYNOPTIC OVERVIEW: A surface trough is still situated on the westward side of the Rocky Mountains and has been causing some of the precipitation we have been observing in the area which may persist into this evening. A ridge is currently located off the BC coast and is expected to make landfall over the next few days, bringing stable conditions to the area.
FORECASTER: Hilary Smith SYNOPTIC OVERVIEW: Low pressure system located over southern Alberta and a trough just on the western side of the continental divide. Large precipitation system showing on radar located to the east of the Fortress Mountain site, but it has not moved for quite some time and flow throughout the day has been southwesterly. The radar will be monitored for the next couple hours to ensure that the system does not move west and that no other systems develop that could move towards Fortress.
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