June 17 - 1300 UTC

FORECASTERS: Jeremy Morris & Aurélie Desroches-Lapointe

SYNOPTIC OVERVIEW
Unsettled conditions caused by the upper low and associated trough tends to potential for spotty showers and thunderstorms across the province. Daytime warming may cause further destabilization of the air mass, further promoting thunder storms. On a larger spatial scale, there is currently no well defined surface system in our study zone, however a 500 hPa low is located above us. The low pressure system currently located over the Pacific Ocean off the Alaska panhandle is developing eastward, forming a trough off BC coast. As the system breaks apart upon reaching the coast mountains, models suggest that precipitation will reach our area by Tuesday evening or early Wednesday morning. 

​NIPIKA
HRRR (1200 UTC) - Spotty rain through the day, 1.7mm predicted between 7 and 8pm.
GEM2.5 (0600 UTC) - 1.4mm predicted to occur overnight in spotty showers.
GEM10 (0600 UTC)- Rainfall in forecast for early Tuesday amounting to 1.4mm around 5am. Larger event predicted to start midnight on tuesday.
GEM25 (0000 UTC)- Light showers forecasted for early Tuesday through Wednesday night with more sustained rainfall to start Thursday late morning.

​STORM LODGE
HRRR - No precip in forecast
GEM2.5 - Spotty rainfall to occur through Monday into early Tuesday amounting to 1.5mm.
GEM10 - Trace to fall Monday afternoon, more significant amounts to start early Wednesday.
GEM25 - Small event predicted for late Tuesday through Wednesday afternoon, picking up again thrusday with potential snowfall and significant accumulation.

FORTRESS
HRRR (1200 UTC) - Showers forecasted to start at 3pm accumulating 4.7mm by the end of model run at 11pm
GEM2.5 (0600 UTC) - Isolated showers occurring between 12pm and 9pm amounting to 2.3mm total. Very light winds and decreased pressure during this time.
GEM10 (0600 UTC) - Trace rainfall forecasted between now and early Wednesday.
GEM25 (0000 UTC) - Trace rainfall today. Light rains forecasted to start Tuesday morning into Wednesday afternoon before picking up again with chances of snow on Thursday morning for a big event.